As the 2022 midterm elections are quickly approaching, Republicans appear to have a comfortable lead over their Democratic rivals. According to a recently released Rasmussen survey, Republicans hold a nine-point lead in their efforts to retake Congress.

This poll showed that if the elections were held on June 10, 2022, 48% of likely United States voters would pull the lever for the Republican candidate, whereas 39% would vote for the Democrat. Only 4% would vote for another candidate and another 9% are unsure.

For some perspective, in June 2018, before Democrats took back the House, Democrats had a four-point advantage (44% to 40%) in the generic ballot question. Though as the November 2018 midterms rapidly approached, the margin was effectively down to the wire, with Republicans holding a slight advantage of  46% to 45%.

In that case, Democrats won a razor thin House majority while Republicans picked up two Senate seats on net.