A new poll released Thursday found President Joe Biden is underwater on job performance in 45 of 50 states, which suggests Democrats are in for a “shellacking” if voters see the midterms as a referendum on the White House.

The poll, conducted by the Morning Consult, found that the president’s net approval rating – the share who approve of his job performance minus the share who disapprove – declined the most in Utah, Alaska, Hawaii and Oregon between the second and third quarters of 2022.

Eli Yokley, senior reporter for Morning Consult, noted that Biden was underwater by double digits in states critical for Democrats maintaining control of Senate.